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N Muelleder

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Monsanto

This document estimates the potential change in glyphosate volumes with the introduction of Roundup Ready maize in Europe. It outlines assumptions for modeling, including a maximum 50% adoption rate of Roundup Ready traits by 2020 and average use of 4.5 liters of Roundup per hectare in Roundup Ready maize fields. The model predicts that even at a 50% trait penetration, only 22% of total glyphosate use would be in Roundup Ready maize by 2020, with the majority still used in conventional agriculture.

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Estimation of the Change of Glyphosate Volumes as a Consequence of the Introduction of Roundup Ready速 Maize in Europe Dr Norbert Muelleder 23 March 2010 Monsanto International SA
Development of Roundup Quantity in RR Maize (I) Base assumptions for modeling* EU 27 glyphosate total market size is hard to determine Glyphosate use in EU 27 continues to slowly increase due to discontinuation of other active ingredients EU 27 planting approval for RR maize is granted in 2011 RR trait adoption by EU 27 farmers (including stacks) till 2020 will be max. 50 % of EU hybrid corn market max. registered Roundup rate in RR maize is 6 l/ha (2160 g ae) per cropping season, average total use in RR maize will be 4.5 l (1620 g ae) Roundup use in RR maize replaces 10 % of glyphosate applications in the crop rotation * As for all models, this summary is based on estimates, which may or may not reflect the real future situation
Development of Roundup Quantity in RR Maize (II) 100% 90% Roundup use in RR corn 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% Glyphosate use in conventional agriculture 30% 20% 10% 0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Based on the model, even at 50 % trait penetration in 2020, only 22 % of total glyphosate is used in RR maize
in case you are curious: this is just a white whole NK 603 launch in Europe June 2008 - NM

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N Muelleder

  • 1. Estimation of the Change of Glyphosate Volumes as a Consequence of the Introduction of Roundup Ready速 Maize in Europe Dr Norbert Muelleder 23 March 2010 Monsanto International SA
  • 2. Development of Roundup Quantity in RR Maize (I) Base assumptions for modeling* EU 27 glyphosate total market size is hard to determine Glyphosate use in EU 27 continues to slowly increase due to discontinuation of other active ingredients EU 27 planting approval for RR maize is granted in 2011 RR trait adoption by EU 27 farmers (including stacks) till 2020 will be max. 50 % of EU hybrid corn market max. registered Roundup rate in RR maize is 6 l/ha (2160 g ae) per cropping season, average total use in RR maize will be 4.5 l (1620 g ae) Roundup use in RR maize replaces 10 % of glyphosate applications in the crop rotation * As for all models, this summary is based on estimates, which may or may not reflect the real future situation
  • 3. Development of Roundup Quantity in RR Maize (II) 100% 90% Roundup use in RR corn 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% Glyphosate use in conventional agriculture 30% 20% 10% 0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Based on the model, even at 50 % trait penetration in 2020, only 22 % of total glyphosate is used in RR maize
  • 4. in case you are curious: this is just a white whole NK 603 launch in Europe June 2008 - NM